Labor nearly shut out of Australian state government


After today’s state elections in two Australian states, the center-left Australian Labor Party has lost power after 16 years in Tasmania and it may yet still lose power in South Australia, where the race remains too close to calltasmania_flagsouth australia flagAustralia Flag Icon

If Labor hangs onto government in South Australia under premier Jay Weatherill, he’ll be the last Labor premier left standing in any Australian state, capping a catastrophic electoral run — just six years ago, Labor controlled the government in every Australian state.  If the center-right Liberal Party emerges victorious in South Australia, Labor will control no state governments (though it remains in power in the Australian Capital Territory of Canberra).

In Tasmania, where Labor was believed to have had a better chance of hanging onto power, premier Lara Giddings lost her bid to win a fifth consecutive Labor government.  With around 80% of the vote counted, Labor had won just 27% of the vote and six of the Tasmanian House of Representative’s 25 seats.  The Liberal Party, under the leadership of Will Hodgman, who is set to become Tasmania’s new premier, will win at least 14 seats.

In South Australia, however, Weatherill could still remain premier, given the tight margin.  Labor has lost ground, but not nearly as much as expected, and it’s been to the benefit of not only the Liberals, but also the South Australian Green Party.  Going into today’s election, Labor controlled 26 seats in the 47-member House of Representatives (the lower house of the South Australian parliament), the Liberals controlled 18 and independents controlled three.  As the final votes are counted, Labor now has 23 seats, Liberals hold 22 seats, and two independents seem increasingly likely to determine who will form the next government.

A conservative Liberal/National Coalition government under prime minister Tony Abbott swept into power last September at the national level, ending six years of rocky Labor government marked by infighting between supporters of prime ministers Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard.  Rudd initially brought Labor to power in 2007, but his Labor caucus pushed him out of office in favor of Gillard in 2010.  Shortly before last year’s election and facing a landslide defeat under Gillard, the Labor caucus turned back to Rudd, who served as prime minister again for the final three months of Labor’s government.  Both Rudd and Gillard have retired from politics, and former financial services minister Bill Shorten was elected Labor’s new national leader in October.

State-level setbacks have become something of a gruesome spring ritual for Labor over the past few years:

  • In March 2011, the Liberal/National Coalition won a landslide victory in Australia’s largest state, New South Wales, bringing Barry O’Farrell to power after 16 years of Labor government.  Labor suffered a 16.4% swing from the prior election, setting a postwar record for the largest swing against an incumbent government, and lost 32 of its 52 seats in the NSW legislative assembly.
  • In March 2012, the Labor government in Queensland suffered a similar fate, despite having won the previous eight consecutive state elections.  On a 15.59% swing, Labor lost 44 seats in the Queensland legislative assembly, leaving the party with a seven-member caucus as the opposition to the Liberal National Party government headed by Campbell Newman (Outgoing Labor premier Anna Bligh not only stepped down as the state party, but resigned from the state assembly altogether).
  • In March 2013, Western Australian premier Colin Barnett won a Liberal majority government for the first time in nearly 20 years, taking 31 out of 59 seats in the legislative assembly in Perth, extending the minority government that he formed in 2008, though Labor didn’t suffer the same kind of losses in Western Australia as it did in NSW and Queensland.

Labor’s state-level annihilation is now so complete that it’s worth wondering if the pendulum might start swinging back to the party soon, starting with the November 29 election scheduled in Victoria, the second-most populous state in Australia.

Ted Baillieu led the Coalition to a narrow one-seat majority in the 88-seat Victorian legislative assembly (and a one-seat majority in the upper house, the 40-seat legislative council) in the November 2010 election in what has typically been the most Labor-friendly state in Australia.

Baillieu resigned as premier in March 2013, however, following the release of secret tape recordings implicating Baillieu’s government in corrupt dealings.  Former racing minister Denis Napthine, who succeeded Ballieu, will lead the Coalition into the 2014 elections, and polls show that Labor has a decent shot of retaking Victoria’s government.

So while Abbott and the Coalition may be enjoying the prospect of a clean-sweep of Australia’s state-level government, it could be incredibly fleeting.

One thought on “Labor nearly shut out of Australian state government”

  1. You know why?
    A letter to The Premier of Tasmania
    Re: Building your state’s health economic research & development by supporting a report of “Building a 21st Century Primary Health Care System”

    Dear Premier Lara giddings, 12, March 2014
    I believed you have not read my letter dated 28, February 2014 to you unfortunately, otherwise you will be very surprised how important my information to your re-elected as the Tasmania Premier if you read it.
    I am urging you that there is still time for you to read it to discover the power of invention and innovation alive, and to tell the Tasmania voters that a Labor party government will achieve a real change of a better health and economy for Tasmania people if re-elect.
    There are three important measures to the Tasmania state election as following:
    ● Innovative Primary Health Care model that is capable to overcome Tasmania social determinants of health.
    ● Innovative Health Olympic model that is capable to overcome the sluggish Tasmania economic, in particular in the care of measures in unemployment, income, and investment.
    ● Innovative Politic Olympic model to be set up to achieves a political openness Tasmania government in the wave of political failure to voters crisis in voice not be hear, pains not be solved.
    Federal Opposition leader Bill Shorten at least wake up after two terms of Labor government defeated due to above failures, and he declared the Labor Party needs new policy ideas and has outlined an ambitious goal to more than double its 44,000-strong membership; and came up a political solution in three very important measures during the interview by political reporter Jane Norman on ABC news 8, March 2014 outline in the following:
    ●”I want Labor to be the party of small business and entrepreneurs,” he said.
    ●”I want us to be the party for farmers – people who know the danger of climate change better than anyone.
    ●”I want science to be a first-order political issue.”
    The speech comes at a difficult time for the party, which is facing the prospect of losing government in both Tasmania and South Australia within a few weeks.
    Mr Shorten acknowledged the difficulties, telling the audience “the challenge ahead of us is significant” and said the party needed to reach out to new constituencies.
    That’s why the former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and Julie Gillard lost the scene of a Prime Ministership, that’s due to they both, or perhaps all politicians are over estimated themselves too much, and under estimated the power of individual, in particular of individual inventor, or Innovator too little.
    Anyhow, they have taken over Half million dollar in salary during their Prime Ministership, and both enjoy with $200,000 pension plus estimated $300,000-a-year office and travel costs for life long, and say good bye to all once supported (me too, for 40 years as a labor supporter , and never vote coalition party). I made a turn when I watched TV broadcasting described $35 as a good enough by a particular Labor minister during their power in government. In fact, there are a lot of people who suffered only $35 for daily living who also once supported them. Furthermore, if we read news from The Sunday Telegraph November 23, 2013 10:00 where Julia Gillard and Kevin Rudd demand bigger perks for former Prime Ministers:
    KEVIN Rudd bombarded the incoming Abbott government with demands for taxpayer-funded assistance for two Brisbane offices, staff and other perks, even ringing the Prime Minister to discuss his arrangements.
    The Sunday Telegraph can reveal former Prime Minister Julia Gillard, who is believed to have secured a six-figure cash advance to write her memoirs, also requested an office in Melbourne and Adelaide and also sought an extra staffer, citing John Howard’s arrangements as a precedent. Her request for a second office was denied, and left 225 perks removal comments.
    The past Australian Labor Government and the Opposition did not focus political debate and action on the things that will deliver Australian communities where everyone belongs, is valued and can contribute.
    Will Federal Opposition leader Bill Shorten be able to find the right tools to solve the previous party defeated question? Then, he will soon to win the next federal election, and again retain Prime Ministership in full three terms.
    When Tasmania voters read out the ABC news a week ago: “The poll suggests the Liberals will claim government next weekend and showed 54.6 per cent of respondents would prefer Will Hodgman as Premier compared to 24.7 per cent for Lara Giddings. EMRS chief operations director Samuel Paske said with very little change noted since the last voting intentions poll in November, it appeared undecided voters were no closer to making up their mind ahead of the March 15 ballot.”
    “With almost a quarter of voters in what we would call the ‘soft voter’ category or yet to make up their mind, the remaining weeks of the election campaign will be critical as these Tasmanians evaluate party policy announcements and potential candidates in their respective electorates,” Mr Paske said.
    Do you also understand that there was an article from the Author Published by Oxford University Press 2011:
    “Fair and just or just fair? Examining models of government—not-for-profit engagement under the Australian Social Inclusion Agenda”?
    Emerging research in Canada and the United States has shown that we need to ask ‘what are the political and economic determinants of the social determinants? and of the health determinants ?
    There was a question asked from the Author Published by Oxford University Press 2011:”what are the political and economic determinants of the social determinants of health?” Area Variation in Mortality in Tasmania (Australia): The Contributions of Socioeconomic Disadvantage, Social Capital and Geographic Remoteness. Turrell, Gavin, Kavanagh, Anne & Subramanian, S. V. (2006) Area Variation in Mortality in Tasmania (Australia): The Contributions of Socioeconomic Disadvantage, Social Capital and Geographic Remoteness. Health and Place, 12(3), pp. 291-305.”
    Is there a deep fundamental problem that the Tasmania people crying out in crisis that need to resolves but remain unable to get a change? Example of: why a decade of strong economic growth, Australia struggles to eliminate long-term unemployment, and the related issues of intergenerational disadvantage, in particular of the state of Tasmania?
    There was another Journal Article by University Queensland subject: from Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES (110000) PUBLIC HEALTH AND HEALTH SERVICES (111700):
    This study investigated the association between socioeconomic disadvantage, social capital, geographic remoteness and mortality in the Australian state of Tasmania. The analysis is based on death rates among persons aged 25-74 years in 41 Statistical Local Areas (SLA) for the period 1998-2000. Multilevel binomial regression indicated that death rates were significantly higher in disadvantaged areas. There was little support for an association between social capital and mortality, thereby contesting the often held notion that social capital is universally important for explaining variations in population health. Similarly, we found little evidence of a link between geographic remoteness and mortality, which contrasts with that found in other Australian states; this probably reflects the small size of Tasmania, and limited variation in the degree of remoteness amongst its SLA.

    Is that why The Liberal ahead of Labor party due to their convincing slogan as the latest News from the Tasmanian Liberals 10 March, 2014 as in the following read out?
    “The majority Hodgman Liberal Government Plan to build a modern economy and create jobs; a plan to increase tourism numbers to 1.5 million by 2020 which will create 8000 new jobs; lead positive change for a healthier population, a goal to become the healthiest population in Australia by 2025, and target a whole-of-State approach to promoting good health and preventing chronic disease. In achieving these goals, first task will be to get all stakeholders together to find the best way to address Tasmania’s current ad hoc and fragmented approach to addressing the poor Tasmania public health outcomes.”
    How unconvincing as the Tasmania Labor government Premier answers to the reporter Leigh sales’s interview time of ABC Broadcast on 16/01/2014 in below questioning that rejected by Tasmania voters?
    “If we have a look at Labor’s track record in government in Tasmania, Tasmania currently ranks at the bottom among Australian states on virtually every dimension that you’d care to measure – unemployment, income, investment, literacy, to name a few. You depend on Commonwealth revenue for around two-thirds of your income. Can Tasmanians afford to stick with Labor?”; “Let’s stick to your record rather than what you think might happen. Say, for example, unemployment: Tasmania: 7.9 per cent; national unemployment: 5.8 per cent. Median weekly household income: Tasmania $948; nationally: $1,200 or so. Tasmania has not had a good economic record under Labor.”
    Is that The Labor behind the Liberal party due to the loss of innovative ideas to deny where problems of the state’s care of measures in unemployment, income, health, and investment?
    Again, log of two years ago, if you read the ABC news of Social inclusion13 January 2012: “we need smarter policy” by Lin Hatfield Dodds-“Employment, education, health, housing and family support must therefore be delivered in a coordinated way.”
    Then just take a look at my new discovery of health sciences knowledge and practice of a patent application (provisional) in following abstract whether will it answer properly to your above questions?
    Australian Government – IP Australia Application number 2014900101
    “A newly discovery health sciences knowledge and practice of A Horizontal Exercises System is enclosed. This newly discovery of health sciences knowledge and practice achieves the aims in solving the major causes of disability mortality, physical inactivity and physical activity fundamentally. It will cooperate to the challenging of the World Health Organization’s prevalence of universal disability experience with economic and social costs to individuals, families, communities and nations. At the same time, these newly discovery of health sciences knowledge and practice will be explore to the world into a new International Health Revolution or International Health Economic Boom by spurring these newly invented horizontal exercises system into the Global Disability Rehabilitation Centre for profits. Following to the booming of global Disability Rehabilitation Centres, The First International Health Olympic Wave might be in time to starts, and to snowballing the golden opportunities of the International Health Economic Boom. The inventor welcomes and looking forward where if a country is wishing to be the first nation to start in cooperating “The First Disability Rehabilitation Centre” to be ready to serve its disability citizens, and or to be the first nation to hoist “The First International Health Olympic Wave”.”
    Premier Lara giddings, do you believe if “The First Disability Rehabilitation Centre” to be ready in approximates in five year time frames to serve Tasmania disability citizens, Primary health care citizens as well?
    Do you believe this Tasmania pioneer research and action in economic and social advancing to individuals, families, communities and nations from the spurring these newly invented horizontal exercises system into the Global Disability Rehabilitation Centre and Primary Health Care Centre do comparable better than the now Tasmania Liberal Slogans only? Because they are not yet to have the keys, or the right keys in particular to open up all of three themes of the following model, and these keys are not yet seen from them, and also do not exist in our globe:
    ● Innovative Primary Health Care Model
    ● Innovative Health Olympic Model
    ● Innovative Politic Olympic Model
    Premier Lara giddings, do you realize how important of my new discovery of health sciences knowledge and practice of a patent application (provisional), and proved working from my six years two individual clinical trials that will throw a heavy weight behind your election promotion that to impress Tasmania voters with new hopes of opportunities soon to be exist to them in the following orders, and these are true evidence base invention that much better than the Liberal’s slogan:
    ●Target a whole-of-State approach to promoting good health and preventing chronic disease
    ●Building a pioneer Innovative Health Olympic Model in Tasmania
    ●Creating tremendous numbers of jobs than any other states
    In achieving above goals, these will be happen liked what my letter to the former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd 2009, and Julie Gillart outline below:
    ●Inventing health improvement patterns;
    ●Growing high antioxidant healthy grains and plants;
    ●Manufacturing high antioxidant healthy grain powder products;
    ●Exporting its health improvement knowledge and pattern; and
    ●Exporting health improvement resources (including human resources).
    Premier Lara giddings, please think about why Federal Opposition leader Bill Shorten declare that Labor Party needs new policy ideas, and he found three answers? one of them is: “I want science to be a first-order political issue” after x years in politic that he waked up from two terms of Labor government defeated, and that’s why he outlined an ambitious goal to more than double its 44,000-strong membership.
    Premier Lara giddings, you will not surprise why I have the ideas of ● Innovative Primary Health Care Model; ● Innovative Health Olympic Model; ● Innovative Politic Olympic Model if you look through internet under a name of “masealake” that exposure relating numerals health and political comments, from “Health Olympic Spring China” to “Health Olympic Australia” where lead me to geminating an idea of “Innovative Politic Olympic Model” , and soon I will file another patent application to answer the world in politic in a way of a fairness politic for all citizens.
    Premier Lara giddings, do you feel confidence that my new discovery of health sciences knowledge and practice will help you to be elect again even you miss this election? You have plenty of time if you even just elected as opposition leader while you still young with ambitions.
    Then, you always welcome to practice my new discovery of health sciences knowledge and practice to regain the Tasmania Premiership by producing Tasmania a state action plans for social inclusion, or a national action plans for social inclusion that would capable to prevent a great deal of future harm and hardship; greatly reducing future government expenditure on big ticket budget items like our welfare, judicial, health, housing and employment services systems, then you will win the federal election as a youngest female Prime Minister of Australia. Providing that you are successfully to convince my three innovative models (●Primary Health Care, ●Health Olympic, and ●Politic Olympic) to the people of Australia.
    Once again, do you believe my new discovery of health sciences knowledge and practice of a patent application (provisional) will help you? Plus the soon another patent application of “Innovative Politic Olympic Model”, will these pair of inventions as the sharpest edges of political and economic sword in the world?
    My three innovative models (●Primary Health Care, ●Health Olympic, and ●Politic Olympic) would surely coordinated approach to a social inclusion action plan that comfortably deliver significant health, economic and political gains to Australian, at the same time to improve the effectiveness of government expenditure, and enhance the life chances and living standards of our most vulnerable citizens. This will be proven and practical approach deserves bipartisan support.
    Premier Lara giddings, please remember that you are advising in taking decision and action by yourself while important information to you, rather than rely to other department to take responding, in such example of my first letter to you while replied by The Deputy Secretary Michael Pervan (attached).
    Now you probably missed the once exist of life time opportunity to tell Tasmania voters to listen you one more time, this diamond opportunity of coordinated approach to a social inclusion action plan to them suddenly becoming dim light in this state’s election, perhaps in the future once you waked up liked Mr Shorten recognized “the challenge ahead of us is significant” after two terms of Labor government defeated.
    One more thing, there is an opportunity for you to patch up the Labor party weakness by practice my three inventions which arm with my three innovative models (●Primary Health Care, ●Health Olympic, and ●Politic Olympic) in preparing the next state election if you retain as opposition leader of the state. Otherwise you always can go federal for a try if you win in the next term, then you are the first one to be a youngest female Prime Minister. Providing that you are able to achieve the same shape as the period when I researching my bio-healing plants 2001-2006, there was a beautiful shape of Lara giddings I seen in the Tasmania Techno Park.

    Kind regards
    Key ma

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