LIVE BLOG: UK election results

London 2006 222

Throughout the night, Suffragio will be live-blogging the results of the United Kingdom’s general election to elect all 650 members of the House of Commons.United Kingdom Flag Icon

BBC Exit Poll
10:23 pm GMT, 5:23 pm ET

It hardly seems correct, but BBC’s exit polls have the Conservatives just short of a majority, winning nine additional seats from the current House of Commons. It’s a fabulous drop for Labour, a great night for the Scottish nationalists and a horrific bloodbath for the Liberal Democrats. Nonetheless, if the numbers are correct, it will put the Tories in pole position to form the next government. Ironically, though the Lib Dems are forecast, in this poll, to lose 46 of their 56 seats, they would, together with the Tories, be able to cobble a majority. This assumes that Nick Clegg, the Liberal Democratic leader and deputy prime minister, holds onto his seat in Sheffield Hallam, and will enter into a fresh coalition with the Conservatives.

Note that the Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), which currently holds eight seats, could give a new Tory/Lib Dem coalition an extra margin of comfort. Note that if Sinn Féin wins five seats (as in 2010), the Tories need only a 323-seat majority, not 326, because those MPs refuse to sit in Westminster.

Conservative Party — 325 (revised from 316)
Labour Party — 232 (revised from 239)
Scottish National Party — 56 (revised from 58)
Liberal Democrats — 12 (revised from 10)
United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) — 1 (revised from 2)
Green Party — 1 (revised from 2)

* * * * *

Morley and Outwood
8:20 am GMT, 3:20 ET

ed balls

Ed Balls, the shadow chancellor who attacked the Tories relentlessly over austerity, has lost his election. A longtime aide to former prime minister Gordon Brown from 1990 until his election to parliament in 2005, Balls finished third in the 2010 Labour leadership election behind the two Miliband brothers. That he’s lost his Leeds constituency is Labour’s chief ‘Portillo moment’ — the defenestration of one of the party’s potential new leaders. Notwithstanding Balls’s defeat, his wife, shadow home secretary Yvette Cooper, remains a top contender to succeed Ed Miliband.

Conservative — 18,776 (17,264)
Labour — 18,354 (18,365)
UKIP — 7,951 (1,505)
LibDem — 1,426 (8,186)
Green — 1,264 (0)

* * * * *

Brighton Pavillion
7:54 am GMT, 2:54 ET

lucas

Caroline Lucas easily wins reelection, giving the Greens an important victory. The Green Party is now winning 3.7% of the vote nationally, but it will hold just this seat — Natalie Bennett, the party’s leader, who struggled at times during the campaign, finished third in the Holborn and St Pancras constituency. Nevertheless, it represents a huge leap forward for the Greens — a rise from the 0.9% it won in 2010.

Green — 22,871 (16,238)
Labour — 14,904 (14,986)
Conservative — 12,448 (12,275)
UKIP — 2,724 (948)
LibDem — 1,525 (7,159)

* * * * *
6:45 am GMT, 1:45 ET

I’m ending the live blog now. All three major party leaders are expected to address the public widely tomorrow, and there are still plenty of outstanding seats.

We’re still waiting for final results in Rochester & Strood, where UKIP MP Mark Reckless, a Tory convert, was expected to lose.

We’re also still waiting for South Thanet’s results, where Nigel Farage, the UKIP leader, has said he’ll resign as UKIP leader if he loses the constituency.

In Leeds, we’re still waiting for results from the Morley and Outwood constituency, where Labour’s shadow chancellor Ed Balls is in a tough fight — if he loses, Labour will lose a potential leadership candidate.

RELATED: The race to succeed Ed Miliband begins tonight

RELATED: Seven things to watch for in Cameron’s next government

* * * * *

Solihull
6:11 am GMT, 1:11 ET

This was a classic seat — the Liberal Democrats had to win this seat to retain even 30  seats. Instead, it lost it by a wide margin.

Conservative — 26,956 (2,746)
LibDem — 14,054 (23,635)
Labour — 5,693 (4,891)
UKIP — 6,361 (1,200)
Green — 1,632 (0)

* * * * *

Bradford West
6:09 am GMT, 1:09 ET

galloway

George Galloway, the leader of Respect and one of the most outspoken leftists in the United Kingdom, has apparently lost his seat. Labour’s Naz Shah will take the seat.

Labour — 19,977 (8,201 — 2012 by-election)
Respect — 8,557 (18,341)
Conservative — 6,160 (2,746)
UKIP — 3,140 (1,085)
LibDem — 1,173 (1,505)
Green — 1,085 (481)

* * * * *

Yeovil
5:55 am GMT, 12:55 ET

david lawsPhoto credit to Heathcliff O’Malley/Telegraph.

This is the seat that former party leader Paddy Ashdown once held, but David Laws, minister of state for the cabinet, has lost this constituency, one he’s held since 2001.

Conservative — 24,178 (18,807)
LibDem — 18,865 (31,843)
UKIP — 7,646 (2,357)
Labour — 4,053 (2,991)
Green — 2,191 (0)

* * * * *

Dingwall
5:47 am GMT, 12:47 ET

dannyalexander

Danny Alexander, chief secretary to the treasury, loses in Inverness, where there’s a 31% swing to the SNP. Another potential Lib Dem leader gone.

SNP — 28,838 (8,803)
LibDem — 18,029 (19,172)
Labour — 4,311 (10,407)
Conservative — 3,410 (6,278)
Green — 1,367 (789)
UKIP — 1,236 (574)

* * * * *

Witney
5:47 am GMT, 12:47 ET

cameron

With a smile, prime minister David Cameron is now projected to win the election, perhaps even with a slight majority. He will win a new term as prime minister. In his speech, he mentioned the 70th anniversary of the end of World War II.

He said he was right to hold the Scottish referendum on independence, and he said it is right to hold the promised 2017 referendum on EU membership.

He reclaimed the ‘one-nation’ Tory mantle, and he rededicated himself to legislation that would address Scottish nationalist concerns.

Conservative  — 35,201 (33,973)
Labour — 10,046 (7,511)
UKIP — 5,252 (2,001)
LibDem — 3,953 (11,233)
Green — 2,970 (2,385)

* * * * *

Fermanagh & South Tyrone
5:39 am GMT, 12:39 ET

The Ulster Unionist Party will pick up this seat from Sinn Féin, another big result from Northern Ireland.

UUP — 23,608
Sinn Féin — 23,078

* * * * *

Ross, Skye & Lochaber
5:31 am GMT, 12:31 ET

charles kennedy

Charles Kennedy, the former leader of the Liberal Democrats from 1997 to 1999, has lost the Scottish seat that he has held since 1983– again, to the SNP.

SNP — 20,119 (5,263)
LibDem — 14,995 (18,335)
Conservative — 2,598 (4,260)
Labour — 2,043 (5,265)
Green — 1,051 (777)
UKIP — 814 (659)

* * * * *

Gower
5:30 am GMT, 12:30 ET

A surprising gain for the Tories from Labour by a 27-vote margin.

* * * * *

Doncaster North
5:27 am GMT, 12:27 ET

labour

While Labour leader Ed Miliband easily won his constituency, he admitted in his speech that Labour hasn’t made the gains expected in England, and he apologized to his colleagues who lost in Scotland. He added that the next government has a huge responsibility in facing the ‘difficult task’ of keeping the country together. No announcement that he’ll step down, but like Clegg before him, he didn’t sound like a man who will be leader for long.

Labour — 20,708 (19,637)
UKIP — 8,928 (1,797)
Conservative — 7,235 (8,728)
LibDem — 1,005 (6,174)
Green — 725 (0)

* * * * *

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale
5:11 am GMT, 12:11 ET

davidson

Conservative MP David Mundell, minister of state for Scotland, will hold his seat in one of the rare bright spots for the Tories in Scotland. Though she’s not running for a seat herself, Ruth Davidson, the leader of the Scottish Conservative Party, is one of the quiet winners of the night. Openly lesbian, you’ll be sure to hear more from her in the 2016 regional elections.

Conservative — 20,759 (17,457)
SNP — 19,961 (4,945)
Labour — 7,711 (13,263)
UKIP — 1,472 (637)
LibDem — 1,392 (9,080)
Green — 839 (0)

* * * * *

Wirral West
5:07 am GMT, 12:07 ET

A rare pickup for Labour, who have defeated Conservative Esther McVey, the minister for employment in this Liverpool seat.

Labour — 18,898 (14,290)
Conservative — 18,481 (16,726)
UKIP — 2,772 (899)
LibDem — 1,433 (6,630)

* * * * *

Sheffield Hallam
4:55 am GMT, 11:55 ET

clegg

Nick Clegg, the leader of the Liberal Democrats will hold onto his seat, one of just a very few members of his party to survive the night. In a terse statement, Clegg said that it is now painfully clear that it has been a cruel and punishing night for the Liberal Democrats. He added that there were profound implications for the country and the Liberal Democrats, and Clegg added he would make a statement later this morning at Westminster. Not the words of a leader who thinks he’ll be staying on.

LibDem — 22,215 (27,324)
Labour — 19,862 (8,228)
Conservative — 7,544 (12,040)
UKIP — 3,575 (1,195)
Green — 1,772 (919)

* * * * *

Edinburgh South
4:53 am GMT, 11:53 ET

Ian Murray holds the first Scottish seat for Labour. Gloomy night.

Labour — 19,293 (15,215)
SNP — 16,656
Conservative — 8,626 (2,032)
Green — 2,090 (881)
LibDem — 1,823 (14,899)
UKIP — 601 (0)

* * * * *

Belfast East
4:50 am GMT, 11:50 ET

It’s worth noting that the DUP is now up to eight seats. Although they lost the South Antrim seat, the party has regained the Belfast East seat from the Alliance Party, a non-sectarian party.

* * * * *

Twickenham
4:41 am GMT, 11:41 ET

cable

Business secretary Vincent Cable, MP since 1997, has lost his seat. This is stunning. Cable, who leaned to the left as a more traditional Liberal Democrat, was the most likely candidate to succeed Nick Clegg as leader following this election. It’s a staggering loss for a very, very bad night for the Liberal Democrats. The most senior member of the government to be defeated tonight.

Conservative — 25,580 (20,483)
LibDem — 23,563 (32,483)
Labour — 7,129 (4,583)
UKIP — 3,069 (868)
Green — 2,463 (674)

* * * * *

Uxbridge and South Ruislip
4:33 am GMT, 11:33 ET

boris

London mayor Boris Johnson has easily won his very safe London-based seat in Uxbridge. But his leadership hopes will have to wait until more like 2020 in the wake of Cameron’s rousing reelection victory.

Conservative — 22,511 (21,758)
Labour — 11,816 (10,542)
UKIP — 6,346 (1,234)
LibDem — 2,215 (8,995)
Green — 1,414 (477)

* * * * *

Gordon
4:25 am GMT, 11:25 ET

salmond

Former first minister and former SNP leader Alex Salmond declares that ‘the Scottish lion is roaring,’ as he easily wins his constituency, taking the seat from the Lib Dems. Salmond will be the leader of the SNP constituency at Westminster.

* * * * *

Thurrock
4:22 am GMT, 11:22 ET

A three-way contest among the Tories, Labour and Edit CSSUKIP, this one will be held by Conservative Jackie Doyle-Price. A tough loss for UKIP and for Labour.

Conservative — 16,692 (16,869)
Labour — 16,156 (16,777)
UKIP — 15,718 (3,390)
LibDem — 0 (4,901)

* * * * *

Clacton
4:19 am GMT, 11:04 ET

Conservative MP Douglas Carswell Defects To The U.K. Independence Party

Douglas Carswell, who defected from the Conservatives to UKIP, will win this seat — as predicted. It’s the first seat of the night for UKIP, and its leader, Nigel Farage, is having a tough go in South Thanet.

* * * * *

Cardiff North
4:19 am GMT, 11:04 ET

Tory Craig Williams will hold this Welsh seat, a top Labour target.

Conservative — 21,709 (17,860)
Labour — 19,572 (17,666)
UKIP — 3,953 (1,130)
Plaid Cymru — 2,301 (1,588)
LibDem– 1,953 (8,724)
Green — 1,264 (362)

* * * * *

 

Bermondsey and Old Southwark
4:10 am GMT, 11:04 ET

hughes

This is big. Simon Hughes, who’s held this London constituency since 1987, looked like he was nearly in tears as he lost his seat to Labour’s Neil Coyle. A one-time candidate for the Lib Dem leadership, and an openly gay MP, deputy leader of the Liberal Democrats between 2010 and 2014, and the minister of state for justice and civil liberties. Another Liberal Democratic ‘big beast’ has lost, thinning the ranks of potential leadership candidates.

LibDem– 17,657 (21,590)
Conservative — 6,051 (7,638)
Labour — 22,146 (13,060)
UKIP — 3,254 (0)
Green — 2,023 (718)

* * * * *

Orkney & Shetland
4;04 am GMT, 11:04 ET

carmichael

Scottish secretary, Alistair Carmichael, will be the first candidate to win a seat in Scotland outside the SNP. The Liberal Democratic minister has held onto his seat in the Orkney and Shetland Islands.

LibDem– 9,407 (11,989)
SNP — 8,590 (2,061)
Conservative — 2,025 (2,032)
Labour — 1,624 (2,061)
UKIP — 1,082 (1,222)

* * * * *

Ilford North
3:59 am GMT, 10:59 ET

streeting

Labour’s Wes Streeting, the 32-year-old former president of the National Union of Students, will take a seat that Tory MP Lee Scott has held since 2005. London, indeed, is shaping up as a rare bright spot for Labour.

Labour — 21,462 (16,102)
Conservative — 20,874 (21,506)
UKIP — 4,355 (871)
LibDem — 1,130 (5,924)
Green — 1,023 (572)

* * * * *

Kingston and Surbiton
3:37 am GMT, 10:37 ET

eddavey

Ed Davey, the Liberal Democratic energy secretary, has lost his bid for reelection in the constituency that he’s held since 1997. The Liberal Democrats are predicted to have the worst result in its iteration since the 1988 merger between the Social Democratic Party and the Liberal Party.

Even if its leader, Nick Clegg, holds on to his own constituency, he’ll almost certainly have to step down as leader.

The question is which Lib Dem figure will be left to run for the leadership — Davey, the Scottish MP Danny Alexander and deputy leader Vincent Cable could all lose their seats tonight.

Conservative — 23,249 (20,868)
Labour — 8,574 (5,337)
LibDem — 20,415 (28,428)
UKIP — 4,321 (1,450)
Green — 2,322 (555)

* * * * *

East Renfrewshire
3:16 am GMT, 10:16 ET

jimmurphy

Jim Murphy, the leader of the Scottish Labour Party and the MP from this constituency since 1997, has now lost to the SNP’s Kirsten Oswald on a swing of 31.7% to the SNP.

SNP — 23,013 (4,535)
Labour — 19,295 (25,987)
Conservative — 12,465 (15,567)
LibDem — 1,069 (4,720)
UKIP — 888 (372)

* * * * *

Ealing Central and Acton
3:06 am GMT, 10:06 ET

rupahuq

Some good news, however rare, for Labour. They’ve picked up this London seat from the Tories. Rupa Huq, the daughter of Bangladeshi immigrants and a writer, will take the seat.

Labour — 22,002 (14,228)
Conservative — 21,728 (17,944)
LibDem — 3,106 (13,401)
UKIP — 1,926 (760)
Green — 1,841 (737)

* * * * *

Warwickshire North
3:03 am GMT, 10:03 ET

This was another top Labour target, where former minister Mike O’Brien was running to reclaim the seat he lost by 54 votes in 2010. He didn’t do it — and lost by a much wider margin.

Conservative — 20,042 (18,993)
Labour — 17,069 (18,939)
UKIP — 8,256 (1,335)
LibDem — 978 (5,481)
Green — 894 (0)

* * * * *

Kircaldy and Cowdenbeath
2:51 am GMT, 9:51 ET

brownwins

This is former prime minister Gordon Brown’s seat. Incredibly, it’s a 35% swing from Labour to the SNP. For all the hatred that Brown elicited in England, he was always beloved in his home in Scotland. He decided not to stand for reelection, despite the fact that many commentators gave him credit for saving the ‘Better Together’ campaign that opposed Scottish independence. Incredible.

SNP — 27,628 (6,550)
Labour — 17,654 (29,559)
Conservative — 5,223 (4,269)
UKIP — 1,237 (760)
LibDem — 1,150 (4,258)

* * * * *

Castle Point
2:35 am GMT, 9:35 ET

A top UKIP target in Essex, the Conservative’s Rebecca Harris has held on. It’s a reminder of the gap between today’s reality and Nigel Farage’s high hopes a year ago when UKIP won more votes than any other party in the European parliamentary elections in the United Kingdom.

Conservative — 23,112 (19,806)
UKIP — 14,178 (0)
Labour — 6,283 (6,609)
LibDem — 80 (4,232)
Green — 1,076 (0)

* * * * *

Paisley & Renfrewshire South
2:24 am GMT, 9:24 ET

douglasalexander

Shadow foreign secretary Douglas Alexander is the first major figure to lose his seat tonight. He’s lost his seat to Mhairi Black, a 20-year-old student from Glasgow. It’s a 33% swing to the SNP and a 21% swing away from Labour.

mhairi black

Black is the youngest MP in Westminster since 1667.

SNP — 23,548 (7,228)
Labour — 17,864 (23,842)
Conservative — 3,526 (3,979)
LibDem — 1,010 (3,812)

* * * * *

South Antrim
2:20 am GMT, 9:20 ET

The Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) had been shut out of the last parliament, despite the fact that it was the historical party of Protestant unionism in Northern Ireland. It has won an upset in this constituency tonight, however, against the more populist DUP. This is an important point because Cameron may need DUP and/or UUP votes to win a majority in the next parliament. Protestant reverend William McCrea had held the seat since 2005.

* * * * *

Kilmarnock & Loudon
2:14 am GMT, 9:14 ET

This is the first Scottish constituency to report, and the swing is staggering. Labour is down 22% and the SNP is up 30%, and the Scottish nationalists will win easily. It confirms that tonight will be a historic landslide in Scotland for the SNP. Alan Brown will become the first new MP to win a seat tonight.

SNP — 30,000 (12,082)
Labour — 16,362 (24,460)
Conservative — 6,752 (6,592)
LibDem — 789 (3,419)

* * * * *

Ceredigion
2:09 am GMT, 9:09 ET

Another Welsh constituency, and the first hold for the Liberal Democrats.

LibDem — 13,414 (19,139)
Plaid Cymru — 10,347 (10,815)
Conservative — 4,123 (4,421)
Labour — 3,615 (2,210)
UKIP — 3,829 (977)
Green — 2,088 (696)

* * * * *

Newcastle upon Tyre North
2:01 am GMT, 9:01 ET

The first seat to show a swing to Labour, and it’s a predictably safe Labour seat in the northeast. It’s also another sign that UKIP was an attractive alternative to northern English voters. The Green vote has also picked up from 2010. Unfortunately for UKIP and the Greens, though they will have made extraordinary gains in 2015, those gains will be so dispersed nationally that they won’t win as many seats as their support otherwise indicates.

Labour — 20,689 (17,950)
Conservative — 10,536 (7,966)
UKIP — 7,447 (1,285)
LibDem — 4,366 (14,536)
Green — 1,515 (319)

* * * * *

Nuneaton
1:52 am GMT, 8:52 ET

This is the first marginal constituency to report results, and it was one of the battlefield seats between Conservatives and Labour — and it was an easy Tory hold. Conservatives is up 4% since 2010, and Labour is down 2%. UKIP rises 14% and the Liberal Democrats are down 14%. This confirms, more than any previous result, the notion that Cameron is easily headed to reelection. Paddy Ashdown, the former Liberal Democratic leader, may be eating his hat after all. Its MP, Marcus Jones, picked up this Warwickshire seat from Labour in 2010.

Conservative — 20,827 (18,536)
Labour — 15,945 (16,467)
UKIP — 6,582 (0)
Green — 1,281 (0)
LibDem — 816 (6,846)

* * * * *

Lagan Valley
1:45 am GMT, 8:45 ET

This is one of a handful of seats to report from Northern Ireland, and it’s a hold for Jeffrey Donaldson, an MP from the largest party in Northern Ireland, the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), a social conservative, Protestant and unionist party.

DUP — 19,055
UUP — 6,055
Alliance — 5,544
SDLP — 2,500
UKIP — 2,200

* * * * *

Wrexham
1:26 am GMT, 8:26 ET

This is the first result from Wales, and it’s a Labour hold by Ian Lucas. Two notable features here. First, matching results we’ve seen so far, there’s been a nearly 3% swing to the Conservatives. Second, Plaid Cymru, the Welsh nationalist party, will finish fourth — behind UKIP, which is widely seen as an English nationalist party. It means that though the Scottish nationalists are widely predicted to have a great night, it’s not something that the Welsh nationalists can replicate. Another horrible result for the Lib Dems.

Labour — 12,181 (12,161)
Conservative — 10,350 (8,375)
UKIP — 5,072 (774)
Plaid Cymru — 2,501 (2,029)
LibDem — 1,735 (8,503)
Green — 669 (0)

* * * * *

Battersea
1:26 am GMT, 8:26 ET

Is this the first constituency in which the Liberal Democrats outpolled both the Greens and UKIP? Nevertheless, they lost 10% from 2010, and the Conservatives gained 5%. Labour was down 2%. It’s a London-area seat, and it was a Tory pickup under Jane Ellison in 2010.

Conservative — 26,730 (23,103)
Labour — 18,792 (17,126)
LibDem — 2,241 (7,176)
Green — 1,682 (559)
UKIP — 1,586 (505)

* * * * *

Putney
12:58 am GMT, 7:58 ET

This is the fifth result, and it’s a safe Conservative seat, held by Justine Greening since 2005. But it’s the first result to be announced in London. It’s a swing to the Tories, however slight, and that is not good news for Labour. The Greens have nearly tripled their vote, and that could bode well in its attempt to double its number of seats in the House of Commons (…to just two).

Conservative — 23,018 (21,223)
Labour — 12,838 (11,170)
LibDem — 2,717 (6,907)
Green — 2,067 (591)
UKIP — 1,989 (435)

* * * * *

Swindon North
12:49 am GMT, 7:49 ET

There’s been a swing of more than 4% from Labour to the Tories in this southwestern constituency, and that can’t be great news for Labour leader Ed Miliband’s hopes to become prime minister. Nevertheless, this isn’t a marginal seat, and Labour never really targeted it. The news here is the rise of UKIP and the collapse of the Liberal Democrats. Many constituency-level polls show that the Tories’ greatest chance to win seats in the 2015 election are in the southwest of England, at the expense of the Lib Dems. This result shows that could be true.

Conservative — 26,295 (22,408)
Labour — 14,509 (15,348)
UKIP — 8,011 (1,843)
Green — 1,773 (487)
LibDem — 1,704 (8,668)

* * * * *

Washington and Sunderland West
11:32 pm GMT, 6:32 ET

Third result is now in. These results show the same trend as in Houghton and Sunderland South and in Sunderland Central. Liberal Democrats lose their third deposit of the night, and UKIP has emerged with an amazing amount of strength — it’s the second northern constituency in which UKIP has placed second.

Labour — 20,478 (19,615)
UKIP — 7,321 (1,267)
Conservative — 7,033 (8,157)
Green — 1,091 (0)
LibDem — 993 (62,82)

* * * * *

Houghton and Sunderland South
11:05 pm GMT, 6:05 ET

Bridget Phillipson will hold onto this constituency in northeastern England, with a swing to Labour of around 5%, or 2,000 votes. The striking this about result is that UKIP has won second place, and the BBC is reporting that this represents a swing from Labour to UKIP of 7%. The Liberal Democrats finish in fifth place, behind the Green Party, and they’ll forfeit their election deposit. This tells us little about the course of the night ahead in the 649 constituencies to come, but it does tell us that Nigel Farage was right that northern English voters are a fertile bank for potential UKIP supporters.

Labour — 21,218 (19,137)
UKIP — 8,218 (1,022)
Conservative — 7,105 (8,147)
Green — 1,095 (0)
LibDem — 791 (5,292)

 

 

 

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